PUBLIC RECORD · COMPLETED RESULTS ONLY//PUBLIC RECORD · COMPLETED RESULTS ONLY//

THE DAY6:30 AM CST YESTERDAY GRADED8:00 AM CST MODEL BUILDS11:35 AM CST FIRST PITCH~1:00 PM CST ALT LINES PRICE2:00 PM CST RE-SCREEN~3:30 PM CST LINEUPS → PICKS FREEZE5:00 PM CST TOMORROW EARLY LOOK6:40 PM CST TOMORROW SCOUT7:45–11:45 PM CST TOMORROW BOARD REFRESHES

THE
RECORD

how the slate actually did · scoreboard, not proof of an edge

ALL NON-NEUTRAL LEGS994-854

ALL LEANS ≥0.5609-492

WIN%55.3%

95% CI52–58%

BEAT-LINE (2208 LEGS)53.3%

CONVICTION LADDER · SMALL EDGE → MID → BET-STRENGTH52% → 54% → 57%

OFFICIAL CARD RECORDS

three official card records · picked in advance, locked, graded in public

THE OVERNIGHT CARD

picked the night before off opening lines · locked 6:00 AM CST · no edits after

LATESTTHU 09/03 · 1 pendingALL-TIME42-29WIN%59%VS CLOSE+1.0 PTS · beat close 10/25LAST SLATES

THE MORNING CARD

the 8:00 AM CST card frozen at its posted lines · kept visible all day · graded win or lose

LATESTWED 09/02 · 1-0 · no qualifying picks sinceALL-TIME25-19WIN%57%VS CLOSE+0.2 PTS · beat close 3/10LAST SLATES

THE CONFIRMED CARD

each pick freezes the second the opposing lineup posts · what you see is what gets graded

LATESTFRI 08/28 · 0-1 · no qualifying picks sinceALL-TIME36-23WIN%61%VS CLOSE+0.5 PTS · beat close 13/47LAST SLATES

HOW TO READ THE RECORDfrozen = picked in advance and locked · results can’t be massaged after the factWIN% needs ~58% to beat the juice · a winning record can still lose moneyVS CLOSE = our price vs the closing price · beating the close is the only edge that lasts

the honest read: the record is ahead of breakeven but closing-line value is positive but thin. The edge is NOT proven. the evidence remains provisional until closing-line value holds on meaningful volume.

THE LAST 3 SLATES

all model leans · every model lean, graded · the official cards above are the posted record

THU 09/032-1ALL 16 arms that PITCHED · 3 lined and graded · 5 pitched unlined · 8 in play now · 3 not started · those rows publish at first pitch

PITCHER	LINE	OURS	OUR LEAN	ACTUAL	W/L
Logan Henderson	5.5	6.0	▲ OVER 5.5	7 K	W
Luis Castillo	4.5	4.4	▼ UNDER 4.5	3 K	W
Kevin Gausman	5.5	5.4	▼ UNDER 5.5	9 K	L
Michael Wacha	5.5	4.2	▼ UNDER 5.5	live…	PEND
Kade Anderson	5.5	4.6	▼ UNDER 5.5	live…	PEND
Jack Perkins	5.5	4.8	▼ UNDER 5.5	live…	PEND
Shane McClanahan	4.5	5.1	▲ OVER 4.5	live…	PEND
Brandon Young	4.5	4.1	▼ UNDER 4.5	live…	PEND
Jake Bennett	5.5	5.2	▼ UNDER 5.5	live…	PEND
Sandy Alcantara	3.5	3.8	▲ OVER 3.5	live…	PEND
Cal Quantrill	3.5	3.8	▲ OVER 3.5	live…	PEND
Hunter Brown	—	6.5	NO LINE	7 K	—
Blade Tidwell	—	4.2	NO LINE	5 K	—
Tanner Bibee	—	4.0	NO LINE	4 K	—
José Soriano	—	3.9	NO LINE	2 K	—
Lake Bachar	—	2.8	NO LINE	3 K	—

WED 09/020-0

NO LINES POSTED (feed outage) +29 unlined 4 scratched

TUE 09/0115-15

BASSO O0.5 · 2K ✓ LUZARDO O5.5 · 6K ✓ DOBNAK O3.5 · 6K ✓ BOYD U4.5 · 3K ✓ PHILLIPS O3.5 · 4K ✓ GORE U6.5 · 4K ✓ HUGHES U4.5 · 4K ✓ IRVIN O4.5 · 5K ✓ MCGREEVY O3.5 · 4K ✓ SKENES U6.5 · 4K ✓ RODRIGUEZ U4.5 · 3K ✓ LAUER U3.5 · 2K ✓ GASSER U4.5 · 4K ✓ MELTON U4.5 · 4K ✓ ARRIGHETTI U3.5 · 2K ✓ MORRIS O1.5 · 0K ✗ SMITH-SHAWVER U4.5 · 5K ✗ COLE O6.5 · 5K ✗ BURKE U5.5 · 6K ✗ WILLIAMS U6.5 · 13K ✗ LODOLO U4.5 · 5K ✗ WOO U5.5 · 7K ✗ WEBB O4.5 · 1K ✗ BLANCO O4.5 · 3K ✗ RODRIGUEZ U5.5 · 7K ✗ PERALTA U4.5 · 7K ✗ MANAEA O4.5 · 2K ✗ VÁSQUEZ O3.5 · 3K ✗ PRIELIPP O5.5 · 5K ✗ BRADISH O4.5 · 4K ✗ +1 unlined 2 scratched

CLOSING LINE VALUE

slate of 2026-09-02 · every frozen track · OVN = night-before entry · 8:00 AM CST = morning-card entry · CONF = lineup-post entry · same pick can appear once per track · de-vigged fair probability, same line · the durable edge test · last 7 slates: +5.3 PTS avg · beat close 6/6

PITCHER	PICK	ENTRY	CLOSE	CLV	RESULT
OVN Joey Cantillo	U 4.5	50.2%	57.9%	+7.7 PTS ✓	L · 6K
8:00 AM CST Cody Bradford	U 5 line 5→4.5	—	55.5%	frozen post-start · no CLV	W · 3K
CONF Cody Bradford	U 5	—	55.5%	frozen post-start · no CLV	W · 3K

MODEL OUTPUTS · TRANSPARENTLY TRACKED · NOT BETTING ADVICE. "OUR K%" IS A CALIBRATED PROBABILITY (CAPS ≈ 70% BY DESIGN). THE MODEL IS AT-MARKET; CLOSING-LINE VALUE IS THE TEST. COLOR KEY · VOLT = OUR MODEL · GOLD = FROZEN/CARDED · BLUE = THE MARKET · ORANGE = OVER · VIOLET = UNDER · GREEN/RED = LIVE & RESULTS ONLY. THIS TAB IS TOMORROW ONLY · LIVE ACTION IS ON THE BOARD.